Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 222.238706 250.162738 281.204093 318.445656 362.143519 412.073331 473.844717
2024-10-20 179.321440 215.594155 259.485441 317.197564 392.125389 487.588363 620.855051
2024-10-27 150.027314 187.635333 235.552481 302.288309 394.808020 521.638769 714.349804
2024-11-03 139.091380 180.120184 234.858388 315.201616 433.636075 607.839553 895.824557
2024-11-10 131.621863 175.668846 236.850681 330.962970 477.700241 708.286994 1122.005606
2024-11-17 121.122106 165.512264 229.160895 330.818830 496.761937 772.370238 1303.074239
2024-11-24 110.172851 153.431572 217.073839 321.907824 499.712263 809.262679 1443.282501
2024-12-01 101.112629 143.205065 206.570985 313.903498 502.447885 845.444315 1590.663497
2024-12-08 97.019463 140.034659 206.495242 322.724796 535.394931 942.933261 1894.137748
2024-12-15 91.867393 134.720788 202.399550 324.032583 554.590350 1017.157429 2169.242072
2024-12-22 85.911227 127.630216 194.713769 318.033566 558.819191 1061.188845 2385.423715
2024-12-29 81.762420 123.117356 190.879016 318.453983 575.558268 1135.240651 2706.461163
2025-01-05 76.302122 116.190598 182.583764 310.118169 574.157750 1170.411099 2940.155851
2025-01-12 72.516126 111.809055 178.366552 309.138198 588.302375 1245.978709 3330.861195
2025-01-19 67.040613 104.189770 167.824555 294.686412 570.953135 1240.221427 3457.998020
2025-01-26 65.984507 104.071526 170.690695 307.189850 615.927218 1405.297015 4261.305394
2025-02-02 65.319817 104.566436 174.684290 322.443313 670.091357 1611.361334 5362.948436
2025-02-09 62.704194 101.404538 171.559986 322.303854 686.930798 1715.466152 6118.657164
2025-02-16 59.263814 96.544525 164.840592 313.680688 681.090573 1749.545001 6579.711015
2025-02-23 56.186841 92.177252 158.780271 305.933168 676.448493 1786.827658 7089.803414
2025-03-02 55.160437 91.523903 159.927987 314.471356 716.490730 1983.342251 8632.314551
2025-03-09 53.408423 89.406303 157.999911 315.736999 736.925499 2119.657114 9977.582006
2025-03-16 51.048349 86.009996 153.259241 309.930938 736.466032 2180.557915 10907.513302